Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001605 0.001775 0.001945 0.002127 0.002314 0.002503 0.002706
2025-09-28 0.001407 0.001661 0.001919 0.002202 0.002499 0.002802 0.003133
2025-10-05 0.001213 0.001529 0.001859 0.002226 0.002619 0.003025 0.003473
2025-10-12 0.001053 0.001419 0.001811 0.002253 0.002734 0.003236 0.003796
2025-10-19 0.000894 0.001297 0.001739 0.002247 0.002806 0.003396 0.004060
2025-10-26 0.000753 0.001185 0.001669 0.002235 0.002867 0.003539 0.004300
2025-11-02 0.000629 0.001081 0.001601 0.002220 0.002917 0.003667 0.004521
2025-11-09 0.000527 0.000993 0.001546 0.002213 0.002974 0.003797 0.004741
2025-11-16 0.000442 0.000920 0.001501 0.002215 0.003036 0.003931 0.004962
2025-11-23 0.000368 0.000854 0.001462 0.002219 0.003098 0.004062 0.005177
2025-11-30 0.000334 0.000837 0.001480 0.002289 0.003233 0.004272 0.005478
2025-12-07 0.000268 0.000770 0.001432 0.002277 0.003272 0.004373 0.005657
2025-12-14 0.000214 0.000726 0.001427 0.002335 0.003416 0.004618 0.006024
2025-12-21 0.000165 0.000685 0.001424 0.002397 0.003565 0.004872 0.006406
2025-12-28 0.000109 0.000618 0.001384 0.002412 0.003660 0.005064 0.006720
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000560 0.001351 0.002434 0.003761 0.005263 0.007040
2026-01-11 0.000027 0.000489 0.001294 0.002423 0.003821 0.005413 0.007306
2026-01-18 0.000004 0.000422 0.001237 0.002408 0.003874 0.005554 0.007559
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000360 0.001181 0.002391 0.003921 0.005686 0.007801
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000308 0.001135 0.002383 0.003978 0.005829 0.008052
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000264 0.001097 0.002384 0.004045 0.005980 0.008312
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000226 0.001062 0.002387 0.004112 0.006131 0.008571
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000216 0.001078 0.002459 0.004263 0.006379 0.008940